| Marblehead-Halifax
Ocean Race

If you have haven't done the Marblehead to Halifax Ocean
Race (MHOR) it is well worth considering. Begun in 1905 and formalized
as a biennial race in 1939, the MHOR has become a very popular
North-East USA event. It is a challenging race and also offers
easy access to Nova Scotia, Cape Breton and Maine - some of the
best cruising around. Check out the official MHOR
site for all
the details.
SailFast & MHOR
Kevin
White, President SailFast LLC
The
development of SailFast grew out of participation in the Marblehead
to Halifax race beginning in 1997. In the '97 and '99
races I crewed on a Catalina 36. The '97 race was a sled
ride flying the spinnaker from the start to the final turn into
Halifax harbor. The only time the chute was down was when the
halyard chafed through during the first night. There didn't
seem to be much navigating to do, just follow the rhumb line.
This was great Down East sailing. Too bad the race often isn't
like this.
The
1999 race was a different story. Navigating around Brazil Rock
proved to be a challenge. Looking at tide charts and
trying to
decide the best course and best time to tack was a tedious and
inexact process. Then an unanticipated squall came down out of
the Bay
of Fundy and wrecked some havoc on the fleet. A number of boats
dropped out with damage. We lost our engine due to water in the
fuel, and with dead batteries and no way to run the nav equipment,
we sailed into Clarke's Harbor and called in our DNF.
I decided then that there had to be a better way to handle the
complexities
of navigating to Halifax.
2001
was the first race with Kalani, my recently acquired Sabre 38.
Some intense boat prep to meet the race's ORC regs delayed
my ambition to address the navigation problem. But by the
2003 race I had cobbled together an early version of SailFast
using
an Excel spreadsheet and a lot of macros. From that experience
SailFast 2005 evolved which was used by 13 boats in the
2005 race. While that program proved to be a useful tool,
the use of
Excel placed too many limitations on the graphical interface
and it wasn't particularly fast. Consequently the
next year was spent making a much improved version with .NET
and
Visual Studio,
resulting in SailFast 2007.
SailFast
uses an "isochron" methodology
to find the fastest route between any two points. An isochron is
simply a locus of points showing where a boat can be at a certain
time. Wind predictions and boat polars are the major inputs.
When current is significant
the optimum route can be meaningfully affected. A good knowledge
of all three factors can give you a nice "unfair" advantage
in offshore racing. Presently SailFast only factors in current
when sailing in the Gulf of Maine. Using Grib files for predicted
current, such as the Gulf Stream, will be available in a future
release.
So does current really matter? Below are a few interesting
examples.
Using Sailfast I set a starting position about 75 miles due
West of Brazil Rock. This is above the rhumb line from the
Marblehead
start. Perhaps half the races in recent years have had
winds that tend to put the fleet above the rhumb line. Using
the
What-If
dialog
in SailFast the wind was set to be a fixed 10 knots coming
from 75
degrees true. A Grib wind forecast could have been used but
this keeps the analysis simple and lets us just look at
current effects.
The
screen shot below shows an isochron solution with a predicted
ETA to the finish of 40.5 hours. This optimum course takes
a long first tack below the rhumb line, then way back up
before the third
tack comes back down close to Brazil Rock.
Click any picture for a larger image.

This
next screen shot is the sailing solution for exactly the same
conditions except that the Gulf of Maine current has
been disabled in the Tools/Options/Display dialog. Normally this
is done when you aren't sailing in the Gulf of Maine, but we
can use it here to see the current effects.
Without
current the optimum track's ETA to the finish is 42.8 hours,
which is 2.3 hours longer than with current. Perhaps
more interesting than the time difference is the course difference,
with a long first tack above the rhumb line followed by a long
tack down near Brazil Rock.

Let's go back to the real world case with current. What
happens if we sail above the rhumb line for a while instead
of sailing down on the first tack? It's not obvious from
the isochrones how that will change the ETA. To answer this
question in SailFast the sailing boundaries can be adjusted
to restrict
the sailing to certain areas.
In the case below the lower sailing boundary has been set much
higher, preventing an isochron solution below the rhumb line for
half the distance to Brazil Rock. In this case the finish ETA is
41.2 hours, or 0.7 hours slower.

Now let's say we are a little nervous about going well above
the rhumb line and relatively close in shore before getting to
Brazil Rock. We are concerned that the wind may become light and
we don't like the risk. What happens to the ETA if we stay
farther offshore before passing Brazil Rock?
Here
the top boundary line has been moved down. The finish ETA is
now 40.9 hours, or 0.4 hours slower
than the optimum track with
no boundary constraints.

With
Grib wind forecasts available the analysis
gets a lot more complex. Fortunately
Sailfast handles the calculations easily.
Of course the data SailFast uses is never perfect, and wind and
sea have a habit of doing the unexpected. But how the navigator
combines sound judgement and experience with the tools available
can make all the difference. And let's not forget the importance
of the sailing happening on deck. Hey - this is what makes
sailing fun!
|